Saturday, September 18, 2010

How To Reduce Home Energy Costs By Sealing Air Leaks

Air leaks With Labor Day past, the autumn and winter months aren't far behind. It's a good time to reflect on your home's heating and cooling costs, and take steps to lower your energy bills. Finding air leaks may be a perfect first project.
According to the U.S. Department of Energy, up to 30 percent can be cut from a home's energy costs just by reducing drafts. For example, a 1/16-inch gap unsealed gap around a window is equivalent to leaving the window 3 inches open.
That's a lot of wasted Brighton air.
The good news is that air leaks are rather simple to identify, and simple to fix. The key is to know where to look. And, to make the job easier, the government offers a complete DIY Guide To Sealing and Insulating a home.
Some of the key tips include:
  • Focus on the attic and basement, where most air is lost
  • Locate problem areas on a chimney
  • Check recessed lights which allow air flow between conditioned and unconditioned air
The government's website also provides a 13-page PDF with detailed images, instructions, and recommendation to help you with the work.
However, if the job is beyond your skill set, be sure to call a qualified contractor. Sealing your home from air leaks will reduce your monthly energy bill and the money spent to pay a professional will be just a fraction of what you'll save over time.
(Image courtesy: US Department of Energy)

Saturday, September 11, 2010

How To Change A Showerhead


There's plenty of reasons to want to change a showerhead in your head. Perhaps you're trying to fix a leak in the faucet; or, remodeling your bathroom; or, trying to conserve water via a low-flow showerhead.
Whatever the reason, changing a showerhead can be a basic do-it-yourself project. The tools aren't complicated and the job is a quick one.
In this 2-minute video from AOL, you'll learn:
  • What tools you'll need to change the showerhead
  • How to remove your old showerhead
  • How to firmly attach your new showerhead to prevent leaks
If you get stuck, or just want to outsource, call a professional handyman to finish the job. Changing a showerhead should take less than a hour to complete.

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

The Fed Is Meeting Today. Should You Float Or Lock Your Mortgage Rate?

Fed Funds Rate June 2007-June 2010The Federal Open Market Committee holds a one-day meeting today, its fifth scheduled meeting of the year, and sixth overall since January.
The FOMC is the government's monetary policy-setting arm and the group's primary tool for that purpose is an interest rate called the Fed Funds Rate.
The Fed Funds Rate is the prescribed rate at which banks borrow money from each other and, since December 16, 2008, the Federal Reserve has voted to keep the benchmark rate within a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
It's the lowest Fed Funds Rate in history.
Because the Fed Funds Rate is near zero, it's accommodative of economic growth, spurring businesses and consumers to borrow money on the cheap. This, in turn, fosters economic growth within a U.S. economy that is somewhat tentative and facing headwinds.
The Fed has said over and again that it will hold the Fed Funds Rate "exceptionally low" for as long as conditions warrant.  It's expect that the Fed will reiterate that message in today's post-meeting press release.
However, just because the Fed Funds Rate won't be changing today, that doesn't mean that mortgage rates won't.  Mortgage rates are not set by the Federal Reserve; open markets make mortgage rates.
Mortgage rates in Colorado tend to be volatile when the Fed is meeting. This is because the Fed's press release highlights strengths and weaknesses in the economy and, depending on how Wall Street views those remarks, bond markets can undulate and mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage-backed bonds.
When Ben Bernanke & Co. speak, Wall Street listens.
The Fed's press release today will be dissected and analyzed.  Talk of higher-than-expected inflation, or better-than-expected growth should have a negative effect on rates. Talk of an economic slowdown may help rates to fall.
Either way, we can't be certain what the Fed will say or do this afternoon so if you're floating a rate right now and wondering whether the time is right to lock, the safe choice is to lock before 2:15 PM ET today.

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

New Homes Sales Gain in June, But Gains Are Relative

New Home Supply June 2009 - June 2010
After a down month in May, the sales of newly-built homes appears back on track.
As published by the Census Bureau, June's New Home Sales report showed:
  1. A 24 percent sales volume increase from the month prior
  2. A 2-month drop in the supply of newly-built home
There are now just 210,000 new homes for sale nationwide.
June's data is a major improvement over May, but it's possible that the true "new home market" may be softer than the statistics suggest.  This is for several reasons.
First, we're comparing June's sales data to the worst month in New Home Sales history.
In May, sales of new homes totaled just 267,000 units nationwide. That's one-quarter fewer sales than in the previous worst month in New Home Sales history. May's sales levels were awful by any measure but June's improvement to 330,000 units remains second-worst sales levels ever posted.
Second, although much improved, June's new home supply of 7.6 months is elevated versus the historical norm near 6.0 months.  The last year has averaged 7.7 months.
For buyers of new homes in Henderson, Colorado, this combination of low sales volume and higher-than-normal inventory may be a positive.  It's the main reason why homebuilder confidence is reeling and the downturn has opened some doors for big discounts and deals. Free upgrades and closing cost credits can make a well-priced home even more attractive.
Plus, with mortgage rates at all-time lows and expected to rise, home affordability is may never be better.

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Sagging Homebuilder Confidence Opens The Door For Good Deals

NAHB Housing Market Index July 2008-2010Builder confidence in the housing market slipped this month, according to the National Association of Homebuilders' monthly Housing Market Index.
The Housing Market Index is actually a weighted composite of 3 separate surveys. One measures current single-family sales; one measures projected single-family sales; and one measures traffic of prospective buyers.
All three surveys were down in July:
  • Single-Family Sales : From 17 (June) to 15 (July)
  • Single-Family Project : From 22 (June) to 21 (July)
  • Buyer Foot Traffic : From 13 (June) to 10 (July)
The HMI's July reading of 14 puts confidence at its lowest point since April 2009.
For home buyers in Henderson, Colorado , a drop in builder confidence could create an opportunity for negotiation.
Remember, it wasn't too long ago that most builders were flush with home inventory, unable to find willing buyers. To help move product at that time, builders dropped prices and offered incentives including free upgrades. If confidence continues to sag going forward, home purchase deals of that nature may return -- especially as the foreclosure market gets larger.
See, in the past, builders' main competition for buyers were the existing home sellers.  Today, builders compete with the existing home sellers and the banks with REO.
It's a terrific time to be a home buyer, in other words -- sellers are fighting for you. It's no wonder sellers have little leverage anymore. Couple that with all-time low mortgage rates and affordability for homes is at an all-time high.
If you're planning to buy a home later this year, you may want to consider moving up your time frame. The market looks ripe for good deals this summer.

Foreclosure Activity Slows Again In June 2010

Foreclosures per capita, June 2010
313,841 foreclosure filings were made in June, according to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac. The figure represents a 3 percent drop from May and 7 percent drop from June of last year. However, foreclosure filings remain relatively high nationwide.
June marks the 16th straight month the filings topped 300,000. 1 in every 411 U.S. homes received some form of notice last month with foreclosure density varying wildly from state-to-state.
Like everything else in real estate, it seems, foreclosures are a local phenomenon.
The states with the highest foreclosures per capita were:
  • Nevada : 1 foreclosure filing per 88 homes
  • Florida : 1 foreclosure filing per 171 homes
  • Arizona : 1 foreclosure filing per 189 homes
The states with the lowest foreclosures per capita were:
  • Vermont : 1 foreclosure filing per 26,051 homes
  • West Virgina : 1 foreclosure filing per 8,058 homes
  • South Dakota : 1 foreclosure filing per 6,528 homes
Overall, 40 states beat the national Foreclosure Per Capita average and 10 states fell below. The sheer volume of REO, though, is creating interesting buying opportunities for first-timer buyers, move-up buyers, and real estate investors in Denver.
Homes bought from banks are usually less expensive than non-foreclosure homes. This is one of the major reasons why distressed sales account for roughly 30 percent of all home resales. Less expensive, though, doesn't always mean "cheaper". Foreclosed homes are often sold as-is and may be defective or otherwise uninhabitable.
Making repairs to get these homes into "living condition" can be costly.
Therefore, if you're buying a foreclosed home, make sure you know what you're buying before you make your bid. Have a certified professional inspect the home to check for damage, and consider enlisting the help of a real estate agent to assist with negotiations and management of the contract.
The process of buying a foreclosed home is different from buying a typical resale. Make sure you do your homework.

Monday, July 19, 2010

25 Cities In Which To Get A Bang For Your Homebuying Buck

Affordable cities for homebuyersHome affordability is at an all-time high. Home values are still in recovery while mortgage rates continue to make new lows. But where are homes the most affordable?
CNNMoney.com recently ran a piece titled "Where Homes Are Affordable", listing 25 communities around the U.S. in which median incomes are relatively high and median homes are relatively low.  It's a housing market "bank for your buck" list.
The top 10 cities as listed by the editors:
  1. Deerfield Beach, FL
  2. Lafayette, IN
  3. San Antonio, TX
  4. Deltona, FL
  5. Spring, TX
  6. Glendale, AZ
  7. Avondale, AZ
  8. Bolingbrook, IL
  9. Fishers, IN
  10. Des Moines, IA
Of the top 10, 2 picks are from the Southeast; 4 are from the Midwest; and 4 are from the Southwest.  2 are "major" cities and the rest are suburbs of bigger cities.  Lafayette stands lone as a college town.
The rest of CNNMoney.com's 25 cities follow a similar pattern -- larger suburbs geographically concentrated in the Midwest and Southwest. Surprisingly, though, New Jersey and Virginia do find themselves represented.  Even the expensive Eastern Seaboard has its good buys.

Thursday, July 8, 2010

June's Jobs Report Wasn't As Bad As The Headlines (And How You Can Take Advantage)

Net Job Gains July 2008 - June 2010In June, for the first time since December 2009, the U.S. workforce shrank.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the economy shed 125,000 jobs last month even as the Unemployment Rate dropped to 9.5 percent. The drop in the Unemployment Rate is being attributed to fewer Americans looking for work.
At first glance, the jobs report looks weak but a deeper look shows something different.
Excluding the 225,000 government Census workers that recently left the workforce, the total number of employed persons actually grew by 83,000 in June. That's 50,000 more working Americans as compared to May.
And, since the start of the year, the U.S. workforce has grown by 857,000.
Jobs growth is closely tied to economic growth because more working Americans means more disposable income which, in turn, stokes consumer spending. Job growth is better than job loss.
Consumer spending makes up the majority of the U.S. economy so as consumer spending grows, investor mentality tends to shifts toward "return on principal" (i.e. stock markets) from "safety of principal" (i.e. bond markets).
A move like this is often bad for home affordability because falling demand for bonds is tied to higher mortgage rates. In addition, with the growing number of Americans earning a paycheck, demand for homes is likely to increase, thereby helping to push home prices higher.
Overall, therefore, the jobs report should be bad for rate shoppers and home buyers in Denver. Except the markets aren't reacting that way. For now, mortgage rates are slightly improved since the jobs report's release.
Perhaps Wall Street is watching the wrong figures, but don't let that be your loss. If you're shopping for a mortgage, a home, or both, now may be your best time to make a move- while rates are still low, with home prices down- before traders change their tune.
Because when markets change, it'll likely happen fast.

Monday, July 5, 2010

The 1 Force That Can Really Change A Mortgage Rate

Inflation and mortgage ratesAll day, every day, conforming and FHA mortgage rates in Colorado are in flux.  Rates move in response to hundreds of factors which exact varying levels of influence.
Among the biggest influences on mortgage rates is inflation.  When inflation is unexpectedly high, mortgage rates tend to rise quickly. Conversely, when inflation is unexpectedly low, rates tend to fall quickly.
But what is inflation?
By definition, inflation is when a currency loses its value; when what used to cost $1.00 now costs $1.10.
As consumers, we recognize inflation by the items we buy on a daily basis becoming more expensive.  However, it's not that goods are more expensive -- it's that the dollars we're using to buy them have become worth less.
With respect to mortgage rates, this is a big deal because mortgage rates are directly related to the price of a special type of bond called a mortgage-backed bond.
On Wall Street, mortgage-backed bonds are priced, bought, and sold in U.S. dollars so as inflation renders those dollars less valuable, so it does to mortgage-backed bonds as well. It's a chain reaction by which mortgage bonds lose value, leading investors sell them, causing bond prices to fall on the excess supply.
And, because mortgage rates move opposite of bond prices, as inflation takes hold, mortgage rates rise.
Lately, inflation has been exceptionally low. The Federal Reserve acknowledged as much in its last statement to the markets, and available data backs that position.  This, after predictions that inflation would be "runaway" in 2010.
The Cost of Living is up just modestly this year and it's helping mortgage rates stay low. And, so long as it lasts, the cost of owning a home in Belle Creek will remain relatively inexpensive.

How To Use A Fire Extinguisher In Your Home


In 2006, in the U.S., a person died in an in-home fire every 2 hours, 42 minutes, on average; someone was injured every 32 minutes. Nearly $7 billion of property damage was caused.
In this 2-minute video from Lowe's, you'll get a basic education on fire extinguishers:
  • How to pick the right fire extinguisher for the right job
  • Where to place fire extinguishers in a home
  • How to use the "PASS" technique on a fire
Keeping your household safe from fire requires preparation, and part of that preparation is keeping fire extinguishers on-hand, and ready for use.  Fire deaths are preventable -- make sure your home is properly equipped.

Friday, July 2, 2010

Was The Pending Home Sales Report Really That Bad? It Depends Who You Ask -- Buyer Or Seller.

Pending Home Sales Nov 2008 to May 2010The Pending Home Sales Index plunged in May 2010, just one month after the expiration of the federal home buyer tax credit program.
The Pending Home Sales Index is now at a record-low level.
A "pending home sale" is an existing home under contract to sell, but not yet closed. According to the National Association of Realtors®, 80 percent of homes under contract close within 60 days.
Because of this timeline, we can expect the summer's Existing Home Sales to be weak, too. With fewer homes going under contract, fewer homes can close.
On the surface, May's Pending Home Sales Index looks like terrible news for housing. And, if you're a seller, it just might be. But, if you're a buyer, the story reads differently.  Just consider the market conditions.
A broad look at the housing market shows:
  1. Home supplies are rising in most markets
  2. Home sales are falling in most markets
  3. Mortgage rates are at all-time lows
In other words, in most markets, more sellers are competing for fewer buyers, and the "winning" buyers are financing their homes at the lowest rates in history.
It's an excellent time to be a home buyer in Denver.

Friday, June 25, 2010

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (June 23, 2010 Edition)

Putting the FOMC statement in plain EnglishToday, in its first meeting in 5 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged.
The Fed Fund Rate remains within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
In its press release, the FOMC said that, since April, "the economic recovery is proceeding" and that the jobs market "is improving gradually". Business spending "has risen significantly", too, with the exception of commercial real estate.
Today's statement is the 8th straight press release in which the Fed shows optimism for the U.S. economy, dating back to June 2009.  Since that time, the Fed has terminated all of the programs it created to support the economy through the economic crisis.
The recession is widely believed to be over.
And, although the Fed's statement acknowledged economic growth, it did highlight lingering threats, too.
  1. Employers are still reluctant to hire new workers
  2. European debt concerns could spill-over to the U.S.
  3. Bank lending is contracting
Also, as expected, the Fed re-affirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent "for an extended period", citing that "inflation has trended lower" recently.
Mortgage market reaction has been positive thus far. Mortgage rates in Colorado are slightly improved post-FOMC.
The FOMC's next scheduled meeting is August 10, 2010.

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

May 2010 Existing Home Sales Is Better Than The Headline Data Suggests

Existing Home Sales May 2009-May 2010Existing Home Sales dropped in May for the first time in 3 months but still managed to post its second-highest since November 2009, buoyed by the expiring federal tax credit program.
An "existing home" is a home that cannot be considered new construction; a resale of an existing home.  Existing Home Sales fell 2.2 percent in May.
The press is calling the drop in sales "unexpected" and disappointing, but a deeper look at the data shows the news isn't as bad as it first appears.
First, on a regional basis, sales were mostly solid. Only the Northeast region posted a loss. The West even managed a gain.
  • Northeast : -18.3 percent
  • Midwest : 0.0 percent
  • South : +0.5 percent
  • West : +4.9 percent
Second, the supply of homes for sale dropped to 8.3 in May and, because home prices are based on supply and demand, this is a positive for pricing.
By comparison, in 2008, the average existing home inventory was 10.4 months.
And, lastly, in May, first-time home buyers represented 46 percent of all buyers. The number was likely buoyed by the tax credit program but that doesn't damper the fact that first-time buyers provide a support floor for the housing market.  Keep in mind that, in a 'normal' market, first time homebuyers make up about 1/3 of homebuyers.
First-time buyers in Denver enable "existing owners" to move-up to bigger homes, which, in turn, trickles up to the mid-size and jumbo markets.
Analysts expected more from May's numbers and that may explain why the reaction to the data is generally negative.  However, in many cities, home resales did just fine.

Monday, June 21, 2010

The Largest Historic Homes In The United States

The Biltmore Estate in Asheville, NCIn 2009, the median size of new homes started was roughly 2,100 square feet. This figure was down from 2,200 square feet between 2005-2007 which, itself, was down from 2,350 in 2004.
Homes are getting smaller across the United States.
But, as compared to the nation's largest homes, the shrinking is laughable. The Biltmore Estate, built in 1895 by George Washington Vanderbilt II, measures 175,000 square feet -- 83 times the size of a typical home today.
The Biltmore Estate in Asheville, North Carolina is the largest home in the country and, meanwhile, another Vanderbilt-built property built in 1895 checks in at number two. The Breakers, in Newport, Rhode Island, measures 165,000 square feet and cost $150 million to build in today's dollars, adjusted for inflation.
Both homes are open to the public.
The next three largest U.S. estates in terms of square footage are:
Hearst Castle, arguably the most famous "large home" in the country, measures 60,645 square feet and ranks 7th.
See the complete list of Largest Historic Homes In The United States, including their build date and architecture style, on Wikipedia.

Friday, June 18, 2010

The Home Buyer Tax Credit Extension Has Not Been Passed Into Law (Yet)

Tax credit was not extended -- yetAs its June 30, 2010 closing deadline approaches, the federal home buyer tax credit is back in the news.
Unfortunately, the headlines are misleading.
Contrary to what you may have read (or heard), the federal home buyer tax credit has not been extended past June 30, 2010. At least not yet. And here's why there's confusion.
Look at these headlines from earlier this week:
  • Senate Extends Date On Home-Buying Tax Credit (Philadelphia Inquirer)
  • U.S. Senate Approves Extension Of Home Buyer Tax Credit (NASDAQ)
  • Senate Approves Home Tax Credit Extension (Reuters)
Nothing above is factually incorrect, but each neglects a key piece of the country's law-making process -- it takes more than the Senate to pass a law. For a bill to become a law, it must pass the Senate and the House of Representatives and then it must be ratified by the President.
To date, we've only cleared just one of those 3 steps.
This means that the federal home buyer tax credit has not been formally extended. As of now, it's still in discussion.  Ultimately, though, if the extension does pass, it's expected to extend the closing date deadline for Henderson and Denver home buyers beyond the original June 30, 2010 date into September 2010.
Homeowners must still have been in contract as of April 30, 2010 to claim up to $8,000 in federal tax credits.

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Good News For Sellers : Housing Starts Fall To 1-Year Low In May 2010

Housing starts June 2008 - May 2010Single-family housing starts plummeted to a one-year low in May, just 30 days after soaring to a 20-month high.  It's no wonder home builders are confused.
Against a revised April figure, Housing Starts fell 97,000 units in May, a figure representing almost one-fifth of the total market size.
It's the worst showing for Housing Starts since May 2009, a surprise to builders and economists alike.
Furthermore, single-family Building Permits plunged in May, too -- down 10 percent from April. A permit is a certification from local government that authorizes home construction.
Housing permits are a precursor to Housing Starts with 82% of homes starting construction within 60 days of permit-issuance. Fewer permits, therefore, directly reduces the number of new homes coming to market in the coming months.
For home buyers in Henderson , this should create a sense of urgency.
Home prices are based on supply and demand and supply appears to be falling about the same time that economists predict a surge in home demand.  It could spell rising home prices and a complete loss of negotiation power with home sellers.
For now, though, home affordability remains high with properties cheap and mortgage rates near all-time lows. If you plan to buy a home later this year, the May 2010 Housing Starts data may be a reason to move up your timeframe a bit.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Shopping And Paying Bills Online? Here are Methods To Protect Your Online Financial Identity


In May 2010, Retail Sales at non-store retailers topped $29 billion, up 16 percent from May 2009. Clearly, Americans are doing an increasing amount of shopping online.  And we're paying our bills online, too.
But how well are we protecting our identities?
In this 5-minute piece from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn the basics of online fraud and methods to minimize the likelihood of identity theft.  Furthermore, the tips go beyond the basic "choose a challenging password".  For example, you'll hear about:
  • Why you shouldn't pay bills from a coffee shop
  • Who might be hiding behind an unprotected public wifi network
  • The dangers of storing credit card numbers with an online retailer
And, although, at one point, the interviewee goes over the top with respect to spyware and anti-phishing prevention, the point being made is a good one -- you can't be too careful with your online financials and common sense goes a long way.

Monday, June 14, 2010

Change Your Air Filters Monthly (But Don't Go Cheap)

3M Filtrete for HVAC units
As the mercury rises into the summer months, don't forget to change your home's air filters regularly.  It not only extends the life of your HVAC unit, but can help keep your energy costs down, too.
Not all air filters are created alike, however. Don't go cheap.
Your local hardware store carries a variety of air filters ranging in price from less than a dollar to $20 or more per filter. They're all purported to do the same job, but after watching this 1-minute video, you'll see why cheaper isn't necessarily better.
Airborne particles are smaller than most mesh filters. Pleated filters are recommended instead.

Most high-quality air filters start around $11 and can be purchased in bulk at discounts of up to 20 percent.  3M's Filtrete line of products is a popular, well-selling brand and can last up to 3 months.
If your home has shedding pets or is dust-prone, consider changing them monthly.

Thursday, June 10, 2010

Bank Reposessions Reach Record Levels For The Second Straight Month

Foreclosure concentration, by state (May 2010)
According to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac.com, bank repossessions reached record levels for the second straight month in May, topping 93,000 properties nationwide.
As compared to May 2009, all 50 states now show an increase in annual REO activity.
Data like that won't surprise today's active home buyers in Brighton or Denver.  Foreclosed homes are prevalent, available and accounted for one-third of all home resales made in April.
Furthermore, total foreclosure actions -- the sum of REO, default notices, and foreclosure auctions in May -- topped 300,000 for the 15th straight month.
Foreclosures remain a huge influence on the housing market.
However, two interesting trends emerged in the data:
  1. 9 of the top 10 metro areas for foreclosure posted annual activity decreases
  2. Each of the top 4 states for Foreclosures per Household posted annual activity decreases
We can infer, therefore, that foreclosure activity may be in permanent decline in the areas hardest hit through 2007, 2008, and 2009.  In 2010, the data shows, foreclosures are waning.
This is reason for optimism -- especially as FHA delinquencies slow nationwide. As fewer homeowners go delinquent, the pace of foreclosures will slow further and that should help boost home values on every block in the country.
If you've been considered bank-owned homes for your own purchase, give a look at the RealtyTrac foreclosure report.  It's provides insight on a state-by-state level, and in the nation's largest metropolitan areas.

Then, to complement your research, talk to your real estate about the foreclosure market and what opportunities may exist.   Competition for bank-owned homes can be fierce at times, but there's plenty of "deals" out there.
You just have to know where to look.

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Conforming Loan Costs Are Rising, Says Freddie Mac

Mortgage discount points are risingMortgage rates may be dropping, but mortgage costs are not.
According to Freddie Mac, the average required discount points on a conforming mortgage rate are higher by 0.1 percent since early-May.
A "discount point" is prepaid mortgage interest; an up-front fee paid by a borrower in exchange for a lower mortgage rate. In most cases, discount points are tax-deductible.
Tax-deductible or not, though, rising costs are rising costs and Freddie Mac glosses over it.  In its weekly press release, the government group offers mortgage rate comparisons to weeks prior, but doesn't do the same for required points.
The press fails to mention discount points entirely.
An increase of 1/10 percent in discount points costs homebuyers and refinancing households in Henderson an extra $100 per $100,000 borrowed.
The hike reminds us that there's more to a mortgage than just its rate -- costs matter, too.  And if you've only been watching the headlines, you would have missed how costs are rising.